Match Preview and Odds Analysis: Como vs Inter Milan at 03:00 on March 4th, Italian Cup First Leg Semi-Final

Preview and Odds Analysis: Como vs Inter Milan (03:00, March 4th). Predicted outcome, probable lineups, and expert insights for the Como vs Inter Milan clash in the Italian Cup semi-final first leg.

Como vs Inter Milan Preview

90-Minute Handicap: 1/2 : 0

Total Goals: 2 1/2

Inter Milan enter this first leg semi-final following a recent shock in European competition. After their Champions League exit, Cristian Chivu's side quickly rebounded with an impressive Serie A run: 15 matches unbeaten, including 8 consecutive wins in the latest rounds, solidifying their position at the top.

Last weekend, Inter defeated Genoa thanks to goals from Federico Dimarco and Hakan Calhanoglu. With the Scudetto almost within their grasp, the Nerazzurri now focus their efforts on the Coppa Italia – a trophy they have won 9 times, most recently in 2023. Last season, Inter were eliminated in the semi-finals by AC Milan and will be determined to avoid a repeat.

However, this challenge is far from simple. Como 1907 is enjoying its most remarkable season in history. Just two years after returning to Serie A, the team managed by Cesc Fabregas is not only competing for a European spot but has also reached the Coppa Italia semi-finals for the first time in 40 years.

Como's journey has been remarkable: eliminating Sudtirol, Sassuolo, Fiorentina, and notably overcoming Napoli 7-6 on penalties. Goalkeeper Jean Butez emerged as the hero with a decisive save against Stanislav Lobotka.

Como's current form is also highly positive. They recently completed a league double over Juventus this season and defeated Lecce 3-1 last weekend. Their possession-based style, characteristic of Fabregas's philosophy, gives the Lombardy-based side the confidence to go toe-to-toe with Inter rather than sit back defensively.

Nevertheless, historical head-to-head records heavily favor Inter. In the three meetings since Como's promotion, the Nerazzurri have won all, with an aggregate score of 8-0, including a 4-0 victory at San Siro in December. However, given this is the first leg and Inter will host the return match, it's likely they will adopt a cautious approach to preserve their advantage.

The 1/2 handicap indicates Inter are slight favorites, but Como, riding high on momentum and home advantage, are capable of causing problems. The over/under line of 2.5 goals is not excessively high, fitting the tight nature of a first-leg semi-final.

Squad Status for Como vs Inter Milan

Como: Martin Baturina (ankle), Jayden Addai (Achilles) are injured. Assane Diao has returned.

Inter Milan: Lautaro Martinez is out with a calf injury. Alessandro Bastoni returns from suspension. Calhanoglu and Dumfries are fit to play.

Predicted Lineups for Como vs Inter Milan

Como (4-2-3-1): Butez; Smolcic, Ramon, Carlos, Valle; Perrone, Da Cunha; Vojvoda, Paz, Rodriguez; Douvikas

Inter Milan (3-5-2): Martinez; Bisseck, Akanji, Bastoni; Henrique, Barella, Calhanoglu, Mkhitaryan, Dimarco; Thuram, Esposito

Como Form

01/03/26: Como 3-1 Lecce (Serie A)

24/02/26: Juventus 0-2 Como (Serie A)

18/02/26: Napoli 2-2 Como (Coppa Italia, Como win on pens)

14/02/26: Como 1-1 Atalanta (Serie A)

08/02/26: Fiorentina 1-2 Como (Coppa Italia)

Inter Milan Form

01/03/26: Inter 2-0 Genoa (Serie A)

25/02/26: Inter 0-2 Bodo/Glimt (Champions League)

22/02/26: Torino 1-3 Inter (Serie A)

16/02/26: Inter 2-1 Roma (Serie A)

10/02/26: Lazio 0-1 Inter (Serie A)

Head-to-Head History: Como vs Inter Milan

15/12/25: Inter 4-0 Como (Serie A)

10/03/25: Como 0-2 Inter (Serie A)

01/12/24: Inter 2-0 Como (Serie A)

Match Prediction: Como vs Inter Milan

Inter hold the edge in experience and big-match temperament, but Como are in excellent form and have home advantage. In the cautious, balanced context of a first leg, the teams are likely to share the points before the return fixture in Milan.

Predicted Score: Como vs Inter Milan: 1-1