Analysis and odds for Wolves vs Liverpool at 03:15 on March 4th. Predictions, expected lineups, and expert analysis for the Wolves vs Liverpool match in Premier League round 29.
90-minute handicap: 1 1/4 : 0
Total goals: 3
Wolves approach the home fixture against Liverpool at Molineux with less pressure, but reality shows they are enduring a difficult season. After 28 rounds, "The Wolves" have lost 20 matches and scored only 18 goals, the lowest in the league, averaging 0.6 goals per game. At home, Wolves have scored 13 goals, accounting for 72% of their total this season, but have conceded 30 times, averaging 2.14 goals against per game, placing them last in the home defensive table. Despite a surprising 2-0 win over Aston Villa and having taken points from top teams, consistency remains elusive for Rob Edwards' side as they have failed to win 27 of their last 28 matches.
Wolves' attack also lacks a reliable focal point. Five players—Mateus Mane, Ladislav Krejci, Hee-Chan Hwang, Santiago Bueno, and Toluwalase Emmanuel Arokodare—jointly lead the scoring charts with just 2 goals each. In recent encounters, Wolves have converted 7 out of 62 chances, an 11.29% conversion rate, averaging 0.88 goals per game, which is 0.24 higher than their seasonal average. However, they have lost six consecutive matches against Liverpool and have been completely dominated, losing 7 of the last 8 meetings, including a recent 1-2 defeat in December 2025.

On the other side, Liverpool are gaining strong momentum in the top-four race. A 5-2 victory over West Ham brought them to 48 points, extending their winning streak to four matches. The Kop's attack has been efficient, scoring at least 2 goals in 6 of their last 9 games. Hugo Ekitike is the spearhead with 10 goals, ranking 5th in the Golden Boot race. Away from home, Liverpool have scored 21 goals, averaging 1.5 per game, while conceding 1.5 per game. They rank among the top three teams for shots taken this season with 420 attempts after 27 rounds, averaging 15.6 per match.
Head-to-head statistics show that 6 of the last 8 meetings between the two sides have seen 2-3 goals, with 3 goals occurring in four of those matches. Liverpool have scored 14 goals from 112 shots, a 12.5% conversion rate, averaging 1.75 goals per game, which is 0.19 higher than their seasonal average. Given their stable away form and dominant record against Wolves, Liverpool have grounds to target a victory, although this match is likely to be far from straightforward.
Wolves: Andre injured; Angel Gomes could partner Joao Gomes; Mateus Mane is expected to start.
Liverpool: Florian Wirtz not fully fit; Salah, Gakpo, and Ekitike are likely to start again.
Wolves: Sa; Mosquera, S Bueno, T Gomes; Tchatchoua, A Gomes, J Gomes, H Bueno; Bellegarde, Mane; Armstrong
Liverpool: Alisson; Frimpong, Konate, Van Dijk, Robertson; Gravenberch, Mac Allister; Gakpo, Szoboszlai, Salah; Ekitike
28/02/2026: Wolves 2-0 Aston Villa (PL)
22/02/2026: Crystal Palace 1-0 Wolves (PL)
19/02/2026: Wolves 2-2 Arsenal (PL)
15/02/2026: Grimsby 0-1 Wolves (FAC)
12/02/2026: Nottingham 0-0 Wolves (PL)
28/02/2026: Liverpool 5-2 West Ham (PL)
22/02/2026: Nottingham 0-1 Liverpool (PL)
15/02/2026: Liverpool 3-0 Brighton (FAC)
12/02/2026: Sunderland 0-1 Liverpool (PL)
08/02/2026: Liverpool 1-2 Manchester City (PL)
27/12/2025: Liverpool 2-1 Wolves (PL)
16/02/2025: Liverpool 2-1 Wolves (PL)
28/09/2024: Wolves 1-2 Liverpool (PL)
19/05/2024: Liverpool 2-0 Wolves (PL)
16/09/2023: Wolves 1-3 Liverpool (PL)
Liverpool hold the advantage in form, squad quality, and head-to-head record.